RIDE LIKE THE WIND: REITERATING BUY FOR S&P500
As our clients have followed, on July 22nd, we signaled “buy” for the generic market when S&P500 index was trading at 1,339s. On July 25th, we also wrote that the upward trend may continue until August 2nd for which date our market model algorithm had indicated a sell-off. Parallel to our expectations, the market moved to 1,380, briefly hitting the key resistance level at 1,390. Now, however, our arbitrage model signals a continued upward trend for at least the coming 2-week period:
- Statistical arbitrage continues to recommend “buy”. Our market model algorithm continues to indicate upwards move in the market direction for the coming at least 10 trading days. According to our models, there is about 77% probability of further upside movement.
- Technically, we now see a potential re-test of the 2012-high, which was 1,422 for S&P500. This time we may actually see the break of this key level. For aggressive traders, our stop-loss level continues to be at 1,330.
- FED & ECB? While the markets do not expect much surprise from the FED today, we think that we may see developments that were not priced in yet. Furthermore, the ECB’s move (especially after Mario Draghi’s speech last week) tomorrow will also play critical role in the overall market direction.
In short, we reiterate our bullish view on the generic market for the coming 2-weeks.
For instant access to the Arbitrage Model Short-Term Forecast check the MarketPulse screen of our apps or download one of our popular iPad/iPhone apps directly from the iTunes AppStore: Stock Arbitrage Trader, Daily Stocks, and Stock Signals.